Sports gambling can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. We analyzed often the Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Florida had typically the edge in the activity. Yet , My partner and i also noticed that there are a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this kind of game. Here is my analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This sport has all the signals of being one associated with the greatest games of the year, along with equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming back from becoming down big in the independence day one fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the action search like this year?

In the event this sport were appearing played at some sort of neutral field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost considering Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular extra reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like substantially, but in a near match-up similar to this, that extra point could make the difference between some sort of push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… บาคาร่า hasn’t misplaced in your own home since January 17, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game at home, while averaging only giving up 15. 6 points every game on home. In case you decided not to do the math, that means due to the fact their particular last home decline they also have averaged beating his or her adversaries by means of about thirty four points per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten this range, on average, simply by 13 points per game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Almost all of those stats have been built up during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They are yet to experienced recent games by which they are yet to only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

In essence that this is still a close activity to get in touch with. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this game and not really gamble at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend with more simple benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders has not been so big that they can could very well still win after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that sport, people severe concerning wagering saved money many people can offer better work with on future games.