Sports playing can be extremely profitable if you know the secrets often the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that smart money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect example. I analyzed often the Western side Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West California had this edge in the sport. However , I also realized that there are a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not gamble on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West California or Louisville

This video game possesses all the indications of being one of the most effective games of the year, using equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming rear from staying down large in the final fraction to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the action appearance like this year?

If this sport were getting played at a good neutral field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, this added in reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not look like significantly, but in a close match-up like this, that more point might make the variation between a good push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home video games.

And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since 12 , eighteen, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. six points for each game on home. In case an individual didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering that his or her last home decline they’ve averaged beating their very own competitors simply by about thirty four points per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by means of 13 points per online game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They have already possessed recent games by which they have already only scored 36, 23, 24 points. That games weren’t against Oh E. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

ufabet168.info/ufabet%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%A1%E0%B9%88 is of which this is still a good close activity to contact. But what I look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this game and not really bet at all. There are usually better video games this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big they will may still win following producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of video game, people significant with regards to sports betting saved money they will can put to better apply on approaching games.