Sports wagering can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. I actually analyzed the particular Western Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Las vegas had often the edge in the match. Nevertheless , We also realized that there was a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This video game provides all the signals of being one connected with the ideal games associated with the year, with each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Western world Virginia coming rear from appearing down big in the next 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?

In the event that this sport were appearing played with some sort of natural field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular extra benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that excess point will certainly make the variation between a new push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since Dec 16, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. four points for every game at your home, while hitting only quitting 15. 8 points every game in home. In case a person decided not to do the math, that means considering his or her last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their particular competitors by way of about 34 details per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, by means of 13 details per video game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats had been developed during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. Livescore ‘ve had recent games through which they also have only scored 36, 23, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a close game to get in touch with. Yet what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this particular game and definitely not guess at all. There are usually better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big which they may still win after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this kind of sport, people serious regarding sports betting saved money they will can put to better apply on coming games.