Sports playing is often very profitable if a person know the tricks often the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. My partner and i analyzed typically the West Las vegas vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Las vegas had often the edge in the activity. Nevertheless , We also recognized that there are a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This activity features all the indications of being one associated with the best games connected with the year, using each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming again from appearing down large in the 4th 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In the event this sport were as played at some sort of natural field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the added in added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like very much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that extra point might make the difference between a new push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home activities.

And even if พักยก24 leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at your home since December 16, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game in your own home, while hitting only giving up 15. six points every game on home. In case a person did not do the math, that means given that their particular last home decline they’ve averaged beating their own competitors by means of about thirty four items per game.

In addition amazing, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by way of 13 details per sport at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats had been built up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They already have possessed recent games in which they have already only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically of which this is still some sort of close game to get in touch with. But what I look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off this specific game and definitely not guarantee at all. There are usually better games this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big that they can may possibly still win soon after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that activity, people critical regarding gambling saved money that they can put to better apply on upcoming games.